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Change Leaders Directory

Business, Economics, and Development
Including: Exponential economics. Enterprise examples (sectors, businesses, methods) of accelerating change. Management at the speed of technological change.

These distinguished thought- and change-leaders are not affiliated with ASF, but where we have contact information, they are all formally invited to attend our annual conference, Accelerating Change. Others to suggest? Please let us know. Potential candidates should have published work that deals uniquely, incisively and pragmatically with some scientific, technological, business, or social dimension of accelerating change.

Female and underrepresented minority leaders are listed in green, and international leaders in orange. Accompanying each individual's entry are sample publications, and occasional ASF comments regarding topics of interest for future Accelerating Change or Acceleration Studies conferences. Each leader has been categorized on the basis of our subjective assessment, from a small sample of their work. All may contact us to edit, recategorize, multiply categorize, or delist their entries at any time.

Ichak Adizes, Mastering Change, 1992; Managing Corporate Lifecycles, 2001
Philip Anderson, (The Economy as an Evolving Complex System, 1988)
Brian Arthur, SFI Fellow.
           Journal of Evolutionary Economics
Zoe Baird, The Markle Foundation. Empowering society via communications media and IT.
Warren Bennis, The Temporary Society: What is Happening to
           Business and Family Life
in America Under the Impact of Accelerating Change, 1998
Erik Bryn-Jolfsson, MIT Economist and Lorin Hitt, Wharton Economist
Comment: Co-authored paper in Beyond Computation. Firms that adopt decentralized organizational and work structures appear to have a higher contribution of information technology to productivity. The company has to be ready to apply the technology both structurally and in management. Classic differential choices exemplified by Wal-Mart (IT maximizing) vs. K-Mart (minimizing). Or the U.S. (labor laws allowing creative destruction/downsizing) vs. Europe (tightly regulated labor laws).
Steven Burrill, VC, Burrill & Company. Real-World Biotechnology Scenarios
Jim Carroll, Futurist, Trendwatcher, and Innovation Expert. (Ontario, Canada) Website. "How [Accelerating] Science Will Change Careers"
Jack Dangermond, CEO, ESRI, Geographic Information Systems leaders
Stan Davis, 2020 Vision, 1992; Future Perfect, 1997; Blur, 1998; Lessons from the Future, 2001; It's Alive, 2003
Brad DeLong,
Economist, UCB. Homepage.
          Estimating World GDP, 1 Million B.C.—Present.  GDP population growth.
          Suggests 3 percent annual economic growth is feasible.
Ester Dyson (Release 2.0, 1997. Chair, EFF.)
James Dyson, founder and CEO, Dyson Appliances, Ltd. Privately held company, and the leading vaccum cleaner brand in U.S., Britain, and Japan (BusinessWeek, 2007).
          Inventor of cyclonic bagless vacuum cleaner. Instant hand dryer (Dyson Airblade). Inspired by futurist Buckminster Fuller.
          Extensive prototyper. Like Thomas Edison, Dyson developed an astonishing 5,000 prototypes before releasing his first cyclonic vacuum cleaner.
          Founder, Dyson School of Design Innovation in England.
Charles Fine (Clockspeed, 1998)
Robert Fogel, Economist, Cliometrician (Scientific Study of History), and Futurist. Nobel Prize Winner. Wikipage.
          The Escape from Hunger and Premature Death, 1700-2100, 2004
          The Fourth Great Awakening and the Future of Egalitarianism, 2000
          Which Road to the Past? Two Views of History, 1984
Bill Gates, CTO, Microsoft (The Road Ahead, 1996 Business at the Speed of Thought, 2000)
Andy Grove, CEO, Intel. (Only the Paranoid Survive, 1999)
Keith Halper, CEO, Kuma Reality Games
          Convergence of simulation and news; Modeling planetary conflict.
Anja Haman, Technical Director, Radical Entertainment (Computer Gaming)
Paul Hawken, Natural Capital Institute.One Homepage.
          The Ecology of Commerce, 1994; Natural Capitalism, 2000
          The sustainable technological future
Michael Helfrich, CEO, Blueforce Development. Weblog.
          Groupware; Secure global tactical collaboration spaces.
Robin Jeffries, Sun Microsystems. Systers/IWT.
Dale Jorgenson, Economist, Harvard
Comment: "In 1995, the semiconductor product cycle shortened from three years to two. This drove IT to create a higher level of business productivity. Between 1972 and 1995 labor productivity and total factor productivity rose 1.4 percent per year. Between 1995 to 2000, these metrics rose 2.5 percent per year, due primarily to the shorter semiconductor product cycle." A 2002 paper by Jorgenson, Stiroh, and Mun Ho, an economist at Resources for the Future (Washington D.C. based think tank) concludes 2.2 percent annual growth is reasonable for next 5-10 years.
Boyan Jovanovic, Economist, U. of Chicago. "Moore's Law and Learning by Doing," 2002.
Steve Jurvetson, Co-Founder, Draper Fisher Jurvetson. "Transcending Moore's Law," 2001
          Investment in accelerating change: the venture challenge; Nanotechnology
Kevin Kelly (New Rules for the New Economy, 1998, Out of Control, 1994)
Richard Koch, The 80/20 Principle, 1997, The Natural Laws of Business, 2001
Paul Krugman (The Self-Organizing Economy, 1996)
Michael Malone, Editor, Forbes ASAP
          The Virtual Corporation, 1992; Infinite Loop (Apple Co.), 1999; Intellectual Capital, 1997; Betting It All, 2001
          Tech business cycles; Saturation effects in technology markets; Hype-piercing
Michael Mauboussin
         
"Shift Happens," 1997, "Fill and Kill," 2000, "Innovation and Markets," 2000
Stanley Metcalfe (Evolutionary Economics and Creative Destruction, 1998
Christopher Meyer, Ernst & Young Center for Business Innovation,
          Fast Cycle Time, 1993; Blur, 1998; Swarm Intelligence, 2001; It's Alive, 2003
Nathan Myhrvold, Former CTO, Microsoft; VC, Intellectual Ventures. "Exponential Economy", 2002
Stephen Moore
         
It's Getting Better all the Time, 2000
Max More, Director of Content Solutions, Many Worlds
          "The Proactionary Principle," 2004; "Track 7 Tech Vectors to Take Advantage of Technological Acceleration," 2003
David Moschella, Columnist, Computerworld
          Waves of Power, 1997; Customer-Driven IT, 2003
John Naisbitt
         
Megatrends, 1982; Megatrends 2000, 1990; Global Paradox, 1995
Edward Newman, CEO, Xybernaut.
          Wearable and wireless computing.
Sorcha Ni Heilidhe
          Senior Editor, NUA Internet Surveys. Internet growth metrics.
Gordon Moore, Co-Founder, Intel
          Moore's Law; "Some Personal Perspectives on Research in the Semiconductor Industry," in
          Rosenbloom, Richard S., and William J. Spencer (Eds.). Engines of Innovation, 1996
Kevin Murphy
         
Exceptional Returns: The Economic Value of America's Investment in Medical Research, 2000
David Nolte, Physics, Purdue U (optical and quantum computing)
         
Mind at Light Speed, 2001
Paul Ray, AmericanLIVES.com
          The Cultural Creatives, 2000; Interview, 2002; Understanding the LOHAS Market, 2002
          The cultural creatives: 50 million individuals co-creating the leading edge of social change
Nathan Rosenberg
         
Schumpeter and the Endogeneity of Technology, 2000
Myron Ross (A Gale of Creative Destruction, 1989)
Peter Schwartz, Co-Founder and Chairman, Global Business Network. Bio.
          The Long Boom
, 2000; "The New View on the Next Decade," 2001; Inevitable Surprises, 2003
Thomas Seeley (The Wisdom of the Hive, 1995)
Stephen Waite (Quantum Investing, 2002)
Margaret Wheatley, Leadership and the New Science: Learning about Organization from an Orderly Universe, 1994/2001, A Simpler Way, 1998; Turning to One Another, 2002
          Using complexity studies to grow organizations like organisms, rather than construct them like machines
Josh Wolfe, Managing Partner, Lux Capital, Editor, Forbes/Wolfe Nanotech Report
Will Wright, Chief Designer and Co-Founder, Maxis (SimCity, Sims Online)

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