development tutorials provide skill-building experience
for our entrepreneurial, technology-adept, future-minded, and innovation-oriented
attendees. They are led by successful, forward-thinking experts,
good at helping you gain high-value ideas and processes in a small
group setting. Suggested pre-tutorial preparation, discriminating
attendees and extensive interactivity all maximize the value of
the full day experience.
Preconference tutorials are on Friday, September 16th
from 9:00am - 4:30pm at the Gates Computer Science Building.
A no-host lunch (noon-1:30) occurs mid-day, a good time to
get to know other attendees. Each
is limited to 40 spaces. Sign up early at
the registration page!
Parking, Maps, & Dining
Tutorial: Futuring 101
Successful Models in Foresight
B08 Conference Room, Gates Computer Science Building,
Dr. Peter Bishop, Chair, Studies
of the Future M.S. Program at the University of Houston
Conger, CEO, Social
Technologies, a leading futures consultancy in Washington, D.C.
Gilder, Editor in Chief, Gilder
Technology Report, Chairman of Gilder
Publishing, author of Microcosm,
2000, and Silicon
The faster change goes, the more acutely we need to develop foresight
in our global, institutional, and personal affairs. In this intimate,
daylong tutorial you'll get an overview from three different foresight
leaders of the practices they use to prepare their clients for our
complex future, as well as learn how to add greater foresight proficiency
to your own organization and personal life. If you are interested
in consulting in this growing field, either as a professional or
informally within your organization, you don't want to miss this
chance for small group interaction and extensive Q&A with some
highly successful change leaders.
foresight goes beyond the conventional time horizon of strategic
planning, which is typically three to five years, depending on industry.
There are many methods available, and successful and questionable
practices abound. Come learn the basics and best-class examples
of foresight development, forecasting, and foresight consulting
from some highly successful practicing experts, and some of the
history and future of this fascinating field from the founder of
the leading futures studies graduate program in the United States.
1. Order and
skim one prediction- or future-oriented book, and bring one or two
insights with you to share with the class. Some to consider: Paul
Pursuit of Destiny: A History of Prediction, 2000, a physicist's
lay explanation of the history and limitations of prediction;
John Malone's, Predicting the
Future: From Jules Verne to Bill Gates, 1997, a book with
a few research flaws but a very readable treatment of predictions
(accurate and wrong) over the centuries; Laura Lee's
Bad Predictions, 2000, a light discussion of a century
of poor predictions in a range of areas, illustrating the overly
imaginative mindset of some popular futurists; Thomas Friedman's
World is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century,
2005, a superlative example of a book predicting the future continuance
of one megatrend, globalization, that today seems to be a statistically
inevitable developmental process. Many other books that could be
suggested for a range of "developmental" trends in computation,
communication, commerce, transparency, security, democracy, etc.,
but Friedman's new work is an excellent place to start for business
you have an interest in technical methods, J.S. Armstrong's
of Forecasting, 2001 by a Wharton Business School professor,
is probably the leading survey work on the range of methods of foresight
development being used today. Spyros Makridakis's
Methods and Applications, 1997, is an even more quantitative
reference work covering similar material.
2. Take a look
online at a good book on consulting practice development, such as
Alan Weiss's Million
Dollar Consulting: The Professional's Guide to Growing a Practice,
2002. Browse a few of Alan's free
tips for consulting at his website. Whether a formal or informal
consultant, consider the practical issues involved in building a
client base, an expertise network, and the type of foresight development
that best fits with your background, interests, and career goals.
Bring your questions on these topics for Peter, Tom and George.
Tutorial: Making the Future Work for You
A Successful Investor Teaches You How to Safely and Profitably Manage
Your Own Account ($100)*
B12 Toshiba Classroom, Gates Computer Science Building,
Korns, Founder and Chairman of the
Board, Korns Associates;
is for anyone who wants to get significantly better at managing
all or part of their own investments. Whether you are a low or high
net worth individual, a beginning or experienced investor, you will
learn skills to better make and manage your own investments.
Founder and Chairman of Korns
Associates, wants you to know the strategies he has learned
over the years as a self-made investor with no prior financial education
or qualification. The disciplined application of basic strategies
anyone can learn has brought him wealth as a professional investor
for more than a decade. Mike presently makes multi-million dollar
annual returns, and regularly beats the stock market averages, including
during these last few turbulent years. For many, investing is a
complex and habitually difficult topic. This is a rare opportunity
to gain experience on these issues directly from a successful multimillionaire
investor in a relaxed tutorial environment.
If you are comfortable
leaving all your investing to sales agents, large institutions,
and professionals, this isn't the course for you. But if you would
like to learn the inexpensive, uncomplicated strategies of successful
self-made investors, this is a unique opportunity to learn how to
safely grow your savings capital to where it will greatly exceed
your annual income from all other activities.
strategies explained include buying and selling equities, fixed
income, safe option hedges appropriate for an IRA, and risk management
to help you navigate occasional market crashes. We'll visit online
resources from The Motley Fool, Value Line, and other sources, and you'll
get a sense of what works and what doesn't for the busy professional
with no prior financial education. Mike will also outline a few
advanced strategies in agent-based trading, including genetic algorithms,
that can be used by those with a technical bent to gain superior
*A Note for New and Occasional Investors:
If you have never invested before or are not presently invested,
you may attend the investment tutorial for only $50
if you promise to use the remaining $50 to start your own account
after the tutorial. Enter "AC2005-NEW" as a discount code
to receive this special new investor rate, or register by phone.
1. Visit Investor's Business Daily (IBD)
Learning Center, and take their four short tutorials and brief
quizzes on stocks, options, and the "CAN SLIM" indicator.
See also their 20 rules for stock market success.
2. Order and
skim Mary Buffett's The
New Buffettology, 2002 and William
O'Neil's, How to Make Money in
Stocks, 2002. The first outlines the self-made investment
king Warren Buffett's "value investing" strategy. It
include's Buffett's strategies in both the go-go 1990's and the
post-2000 bear market. The second outlines William O'Neil's "rational
investing" approach, including his "CAN SLIM" checklist.
O'Niel is another self-tutored investor,
and founder of the Investor's Business Daily.
Life Tutorial: Building the Dream
Creating and Profiting in Virtual Worlds -
Session Full! Registration Closed (
FREE session with a Second
Life account! only a few of the 40 spaces left, email Jerry
Paffendorf to RSVP)
B02 Computer Room, Gates Computer Science Building,
Ondrejka, Vice President of Product Development, Linden
Lab, creators of Second
Excerpted from Cory's presentation at Accelerating Change 2004 (IT
Digital worlds are established destinations for fun and adventure.
Like all frontiers, entrepreneurs are in these worlds, generating
real-world profits. Digital worlds face important decisions around
whether, and how, to embrace these business activities.
populations grow, digital worlds are drawing from all walks of life.
People from around the globe are discovering worlds where the only
limit is human creativity. People, ideas and cultures are interacting
in ways never before possible.
Sustained economic growth relies on innovation. Historically, innovation
has been a function of transportation and communication costs, property
rights, belief structures, and capital markets. Digital worlds optimize
these factors in ways the real world cannot, allowing significantly
higher per capita growth than any terrestrial nation.
Over the next decade, visionary entrepreneurs will emerge from the
digital melting pot of distributed and connected populations. Innovation
and growth will allow digital worlds to capture an increasing share
of the global economy. They will soon be in direct economic competition
with real-world nations.
This is a rare
opportunity to learn hands-on skills and engage in high-level discussion
of the present benefits and future promise of digital worlds from
some of the most highly respected innovators in the field. You will
not only learn important new business skills, but we guarantee that
you will have lots of fun in this unique and groundbreaking tutorial.
1. Create a free Second Life account at https://secondlife.com/join
to prepare an avatar and acquaint yourself with the world.
Check out the Find menu to see what types of goods and services
Residents are selling. Explore any of the in-world malls and
shops to get a feel for what's popular.
2. Check out the IT Conversations podcast
of Cory's "Living the Dream" presentation at AC2004
3 . To see what users are creating and selling visit SL
Boutique and SL Exchange.
Visit Anshe Chung's—Second Life's most successful
real estate provider—at www.anshechung.com
to see a directory of Trade and Service Providers in Second
4 . Insightful stories about the Second Life community
came be found at New World
Notes—the blog of Second Life's embedded journalist
5 . Scan this list of press
about Second Life, much of which is focused on entrepreneurship
and making money. Of special interest are the New
York Times, LA
Life Newsletter citing the Wall Street Journal,
Bay Express articles.
Parking, Maps, & Dining
Address: Gates Computer Science Building, 353 Serra
Street, Stanford CA 94305 (see
See the Stanford
website for directions and parking information.
Registration & Info Desk will be outside rooms B02, B08, B12
Registration opens at 8:15am (bagels & coffee provided).
Maps to local restaurants and dining halls will be provided at the
registration desk (90 minutes for no-host lunch, feel free to use
the time to continue discussions from your sessions).
Directions from Gates to Tech
Night at SAP Labs can be found here
(Tech Night starts at 6pm, tutorials end at 4:30pm - Note:
Tech Night is open to full conference registrants only).